Update: My Super Bowl Points Contest (jjgold is sharp)

January 18, 2010 by onthewhat
Here are those who are still alive. [B]Note that jjgold has the highest EV of any remaining contestant[/B], as anyone having Colts/Saints or Colts/Vikes has to get extremely lucky and nail the tiebreaker. If the Jets pull the upset, jjgold is the only one who had the Jets and Vikings or Saints. No one had Jets/Saints in the Super Bowl. Winner gets all of my points next Sunday, which will be slightly over 200. The tiebreaker is the total amount of points scored next Sunday in the two games.

[B]
[/B][COLOR=Blue][B]Jets/Vikings[/B][/COLOR]
[quote=jjgold;2876397]Minny vs jets and I will not need a tie breaker.[/quote]

[COLOR=Blue][B]Jets/Saints[/B][/COLOR]
No guesses
[B]...[/B] More...

What's the point of going to another forum to talk about SBR?

January 5, 2010 by onthewhat
The entire forum at Peeps is just SBR Discussion. I don't get the point of posting over there when everyone is reading here and posting their thoughts on SBR topics on another forum :+clueless

[URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=250050"]The funniest forum at SBR (or any gambling forum)[/URL]
[URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=250035"]SBR_John asking me to drop the nonsense[/URL]
[URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=250059"]SBR Posters are the bottom of the barrell....[/URL]
[URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=249955"]SBRJohn "Should the Nig-ger word be allowed in different variations at SBR?"[/URL] ([IMG]http://www.peepsplace.com/images/styles/corporateblue/misc/multipage.gif[/IMG] [URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=249955"]1[/URL] [URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=249955&page=2"]2[/URL])
[URL="http://www.peepsplace.com/showthread.php?t=250022"]Damn I...[/URL] More...

Fading KenPom College Hoops System

January 3, 2010 by onthewhat
Many of you probably use his site, KenPom.com, very good site with lots of stats and numbers, and he also has a model where he predicts games.

The lines on most of the games falls within a few points of the KenPom number. The line on a handful are 5 or more points "off", and so it would seem the easy play there would be to follow his model and play the "off" number, but not so fast, the bookmakers know very much more than Mr. Pomeroy, so we are FADING his selections where his number is a reasonable amount different... More...

Kentucky vs. Long Beach State Pick

December 23, 2009 by onthewhat
No video tonight, too tired. Will resume making videos next week.

Like [B]Kentucky -21[/B] here. Yes I have picked Kentucky a lot recently, but I've also won 5 games in a row (4 taking Kentucky, 1 on the opponent). Here is why I like Kentucky....

Long Beach really only plays 8 players. Their 9th guy only averages 6 minutes a game. That's not a recipe to defeat Kentucky. Their tallest player that they play is 6'7", and he leads the team in rebounds. He will be going up against 6'11" DeMarcus Cousins, 6'11" Daniel Orton, and 6'10" Patrick Patterson in getting rebounds,... More...

Chi Archie - Pittsburgh vs. Indiana discussion

December 7, 2009 by onthewhat
I will give the IU breakdown, you give the Pitt breakdown and we go from there to figure out a play.

IU's guard play is very shaky at times but is probably the strength of their team, if they have any strength at all. PG Jeremiah Rivers is a solid PG in terms of running the offense and playing defense, but he can't shoot worth a lick. Verdell Jones, also a guard with PG tendencies is a little better shooting the 3 and is very wiry with no meat on him whatsoever. He has trouble going against bigger guards.

At the 3... More...

Do Gamblers Put Up A Christmas Tree?

December 2, 2009 by onthewhat
I say the majority do not, and probably only 20% or less do. Wives, girlfriends, etc. do not count. Look at jjgold's video from last week, his "Christmas Tree" was a fukkin 2 inch ornament that was smaller than his prick

Gamblers do not bother with doing something so trivial as putting up a Christmas Tree. Why? First off they are not gonna fukkin spend $100 for that shit, gamblers are cheap as we learned yesterday. Secondly it takes a whole fukkin weekend to get it out, put it up, decorate it, etc. and the games are on. If you try... More...

Rebate Wager is slow on moving lines...

November 14, 2009 by onthewhat
They just got caught with their pants down, hope they got hammered. 20 mins late on a 5 point move :lmao:

Pinnacle
TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
11/14 10:50 150 -105 / 150 -105
11/14 11:15 152 -105 / 152 -105
11/14 11:56 150½ -105 / 150½ -105
11/14 12:16 150 -105 / 150 -105
11/14 12:26 152 -105 / 152 -105
11/14 12:31 150 -105 / 150 -105
11/14 12:36 147½ -105 / 147½ -105
11/14 12:41 145½ -113 / 145½ +102
11/14 12:46 146 -105 / 146 -105
11/14 12:51 146½ +108 / 146½ -119
11/14 12:56 146 -105 / 146 -105

Rebatewager
TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
11/14 11:07 151 -110 / 151 -110
11/14 12:59 146 -110 / 146 -110

Morehead State +20.5 @ Kentucky

November 12, 2009 by onthewhat
The John Calipari era begins on Friday night for the Kentucky Wildcats as they host a Morehead State team coming off of an NCAA Tournament appearance. Morehead returns 4 starters from that team, including junior Kenneth Faried who is the top rebounder in the country (13.0 per game) returning. Faried is the Preseason Ohio Valley Conference Player of the Year, and another Morehead State player is on the first-team All-OVC in Maze Stallworth.


In the offseason, Billy Gillispie was fired as the head coach and John Calipari was brought in, and with him he brought the nations' #1 recruiting class,... More...

Morehead State To Cover 20.5 Points in Opener at Kentucky

November 12, 2009 by onthewhat

The John Calipari era begins on Friday night for the Kentucky Wildcats as they host a Morehead State team coming off of an NCAA Tournament appearance. Morehead returns 4 starters from that team, including junior Kenneth Faried who is the top rebounder in the country (13.0 per game) returning. Faried is the Preseason Ohio Valley Conference Player of the Year, and another Morehead State player is on the first-team All-OVC in Maze Stallworth.

In the offseason, Billy Gillispie was fired as the head coach and John Calipari was brought in, and with him he brought the nations' #1 recruiting class, and one of the top recruiting classes of all time. However, the centerpiece of that recruiting class will be watching from the sidelines as John Wall is suspended for the game due to benefits received from his AAU coach, who had previously been classified as an agent.

Similar to a quarterback in football, the Point Guard has the ball every possession and must make critical decisions. In Kentucky's first exhibition game, when John Wall was suspended, the team turned the ball over 23 times with the majority of them errors in decision making against an undersized team. They only turned the ball over 12 times with John Wall running the show in the 2nd exhibition game. While they did have their way with both exhibition opponents, neither team provided any kind of challenge and Kentucky appears to be riding high coming off two huge victories in their exhibition tune-ups.

With the team learning an entirely new offense (dribble drive motion) and returning only 6 scholarship players and 6 incoming players, and playing without the nations #1 recruit, I like Morehead State to cover the 20.5 points on Friday night. This is an experienced mid-major and they were picked to win the OVC this year. The team picked 2nd in the conference, Murray State, went out to top 15 California and had a dog fight before eventually losing by 5 points. I think Morehead State will be able to hang around long enough and will keep the game in the 10 to 20 point range in the 2nd half. Morehead State lost by 20 to Louisville in the NCAA Tournament last year, when Louisville was the #1 overall seed, and returns 4 starters. I think the main angle in this game will be the fact that Morehead knows their offense inside and out, while Kentucky is constantly making mistakes in the new offense, especially without their point guard.

Kentucky is also fighting the injury bug with PG Eric Bledsoe and C Daniel Orton both banged up. Both are expected to play, however.

YTD: 0-0 (0.00)

 
 
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